First and Last Word on Metals and Mining

HudBay Minerals Inc. (“Hudbay” or the “company”) (TSX:HBM)(NYSE:HBM) today announced its board of directors has approved a US$1.5 billion investment to fund the development and construction of its Constancia copper mine in Peru. In addition, Hudbay announced it has entered into a precious metals stream transaction with Silver Wheaton Corp. (TSX:SLW)(NYSE:SLW) (“Silver Wheaton”) providing for upfront deposit payments of US$750 million.

Based on the project’s capital cost estimate of US$1.5 billion, the Constancia mine is estimated to generate an unlevered internal rate of return of 14.5% and a net present value of US$571 million, assuming a discount rate of 8.0% and long-term copper prices of US$2.75/lb.

Hudbay is also arranging a new US$600 million credit facility from a syndicate of Canadian and international banks. With approximately US$2 billion of capital spending remaining on the Constancia, Lalor and Reed projects, Hudbay expects to fund this requirement with a combination of US$710 million in cash on hand as at June 30, 2012, operating cash flow, and the funds received under the stream transaction and credit facility.

“The decision today to proceed with the development of the Constancia project is a significant milestone for Hudbay as we pursue our goal of becoming a leading mid-tier diversified metals producer with long-life, low-cost operations in investment-grade countries,” said David Garofalo, Hudbay’s president and chief executive officer.

Precious Metals Stream Transaction with Silver Wheaton

Hudbay has entered into a precious metals stream transaction with Silver Wheaton whereby the company will receive aggregate upfront deposit payments of US$750 million against delivery of 100% of payable gold and silver from Hudbay’s 777 mine until the later of the end of 2016 and satisfaction of a completion test at Constancia, and delivery of 50% of payable gold and 100% of payable silver for the remainder of the 777 mine life. The stream transaction also includes delivery of 100% of payable silver from the Constancia project. US$500 million of the upfront payments will be paid on closing, which is subject to customary conditions and is expected to occur in the third quarter of 2012. The remaining US$250 million will be due in two equal installments once US$500 million and US$1.0 billion, respectively, in capital expenditures have been incurred at Constancia. The stream transaction does not include gold production at Constancia, precious metals production from the company’s Lalor project or the company’s land package in Peru outside of the Constancia and Pampacancha deposits. Along with the upfront payments, for gold and silver delivered to Silver Wheaton, Hudbay will receive the lesser of the market price and US$400 per ounce (for gold) and US$5.90 per ounce (for silver), subject to 1% annual escalation after three years.

The Constancia development schedule contemplates nine quarters of construction, with initial production in late 2014 and full production commencing in the second quarter of 2015. This timeline to completion is shorter than previously forecast and reflects the progress that has been made in the past year at the project in front-end engineering and design, permitting and community relations.

Annual contained copper metal in concentrate is expected to average approximately 118,000 tonnes during the first five full years of production (2015-2019) and 77,000 tonnes in subsequent years. Operating cash costs, net of by-product credits, are expected to average US$0.66/lb of copper for the first five years of production, and US$1.11/lb thereafter.

[emphasis ours]

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Reviews

Poor decisions, what else is new at Hudbay?

August 14, 2012 at 8:18 am
Zurbo Zurbo

Constancia just doesn’t look all that compelling with its $1.5 billion capex compared to a sub-billion NPV. The cash infusion from the royalty stream transaction is nice but now there’s a good chance Hudbay will start showing a significant net loss. Consider that for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 they generated about $8 million in net income with revenue of $39.7 million revenue coming from gold and silver production at the 777 mine. After Silver Wheaton gets its cut the precious metals revenue pile shrinks to about $10 million. It’s a pretty pathetic situation when you take notice that Callinan Royalties is generating net income of about $4 million per quarter thanks to its net profits interest on the 777 mine. Not to imply that Silver Wheaton is getting an amazing deal, and in fact I think it’s pretty mediocre though as always a good call option on higher silver and gold prices.

10 months ago

One Response to Hudbay Begins Construction of Constancia Copper Mine in Peru and Announces Precious Metals Stream TransactionComment RSS Feed

  1. forwill

    Thanks for looking at this one Zurbo. All these royalty deals are bringing a tremendous amount of complexity to the PM equity space.

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